Global economy and Japanese economic policy in 2022
In 2022, the global economy will likely decelerate moderately into midyear in response to a confluence of headwinds, including China’s Evergrande default woes and crude oil price inflation. The Japanese economy should resume growing, though a strong rebound in consumption driven by revenge spending looks unlikely. In its postpandemic economic policy, Japan should prioritize structural reform and growth strategy over wage increases and redistributive policies.
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E-mail: kyara@nri.co.jp